Valued Customers
| Player | Pos | Slot | ESPN | LLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | QB | 15.3 | 18.0 |
| Bucky Irving | RB | RB | 16.4 | 15.0 |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | RB | 8.6 | 9.5 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | WR | 20.9 | 19.5 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | WR | 17.1 | 17.5 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | TE | 9.7 | 10.0 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | RB/WR/TE | 16.9 | 18.0 |
| Jason Myers | K | K | 8.3 | 10.0 |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | D/ST | 6.8 | 8.0 |
| Emanuel Wilson (bench) | RB | BE | 6.1 | --- |
| Hunter Henry (bench) | TE | BE | 0.0 | --- |
| Jordan Love (bench) | QB | BE | 17.6 | 17.5 |
| Keenan Allen (bench) | WR | BE | 10.5 | --- |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. (bench) | WR | BE | 13.8 | 14.0 |
| Omarion Hampton (bench) | RB | BE | 12.1 | --- |
| Tetairoa McMillan (bench) | WR | BE | 0.0 | --- |
| Player | Pos | Slot | ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | QB | 17.9 |
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | RB | 3.2 |
| Ray Davis | RB | RB | 2.6 |
| DJ Moore | WR | WR | 9.1 |
| Malik Washington | WR | WR | 8.4 |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | TE | 10.0 |
| Nick Chubb | RB | RB/WR/TE | 5.3 |
| Brandon Aubrey | K | K | 8.9 |
| Vikings D/ST | D/ST | D/ST | 5.5 |
| Chris Boswell (bench) | K | BE | 7.9 |
| Christian McCaffrey (bench) | RB | BE | 0.0 |
| J.J. McCarthy (bench) | QB | BE | 14.6 |
| Keon Coleman (bench) | WR | BE | 2.2 |
| Packers D/ST (bench) | D/ST | BE | 3.5 |
| Rhamondre Stevenson (bench) | RB | BE | 0.0 |
| Sam LaPorta (bench) | TE | BE | 0.0 |
Week 14 presents a favorable matchup against Meat Pistols with strong win probability (~85%). The lineup prioritizes upside with Jacoby Brissett at QB (70% BOOM probability vs LAR's porous defense) over the safer Jordan Love. Irving's return from injury combined with a juicy NO matchup (28th vs RB) provides RB1 stability. Jameson Williams locks in Thursday against DAL's 30th-ranked pass defense in a potential shootout (54.5 game total). Key concerns are Omarion Hampton's return status (GTD vs PHI's elite run defense) and MHJ's Wednesday practice absence - both require Sunday monitoring.
| Slot | Player | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Mode | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Jacoby Brissett | LAR | 15.3 | 18.0 | BOOM | MEDIUM |
| RB | Bucky Irving | Unk | 16.4 | 15.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| RB | Tyjae Spears | CLE | 8.6 | 9.5 | MODERATE | LOW |
| WR | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | ATL | 20.9 | 19.5 | MODERATE | HIGH |
| WR | Rashee Rice | HOU | 17.1 | 17.5 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| FLEX | Jameson Williams | DAL | 16.9 | 18.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| TE | Juwan Johnson | TB | 9.7 | 10.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| K | Jason Myers | ATL | 8.3 | 10.0 | MODERATE | LOW |
| D/ST | Rams D/ST | ARI | 6.8 | 8.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
QB: Start Jacoby Brissett over Jordan Love - MC shows 70% BOOM mode for Brissett vs LAR. High game total (47.0), ARI +8 = garbage time passing.
FLEX: Start Jameson Williams over Marvin Harrison Jr. - MHJ missed Wednesday practice. JWill in smash spot vs DAL (30th vs WR, 54.5 total).
RB2: Start Tyjae Spears over Omarion Hampton - Hampton returning from IR vs elite PHI run D. Spears safer floor.
| Player | Pos | Boom% | Mod% | Bust% | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Myers | K | 44.8% | 34.9% | 20.3% | MEDIUM |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | 36.7% | 43.8% | 19.5% | MEDIUM |
| Rashee Rice | WR | 31.1% | 37.5% | 31.4% | MEDIUM |
| Jordan Love | QB | 29.7% | 48.6% | 21.6% | MEDIUM |
| Evan Engram | TE | 25.3% | 49.2% | 25.5% | MEDIUM |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 23.7% | 47.6% | 28.6% | MEDIUM |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | 22.6% | 45.2% | 32.3% | MEDIUM |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | 16.3% | 47.1% | 36.6% | MEDIUM |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | 13.7% | 31.1% | 55.2% | MEDIUM |
| Emanuel Wilson | RB | 13.3% | 37.0% | 49.7% | MEDIUM |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | 12.7% | 30.0% | 57.4% | MEDIUM |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 11.0% | 65.9% | 23.1% | MEDIUM |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 10.7% | 38.1% | 51.2% | MEDIUM |
| Keenan Allen | WR | 10.4% | 36.0% | 53.6% | MEDIUM |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | 9.6% | 34.0% | 56.4% | MEDIUM |
| Bucky Irving | RB | 9.0% | 37.1% | 53.9% | MEDIUM |
| Hunter Henry | TE | 7.9% | 31.8% | 60.3% | MEDIUM |
Projections: ESPN 17.6 | LLM 17.5 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: XGB: 30% boom, 22% bust. vs CHI (16th vs QB). GB -6.5 favorite in shootout potential (44.5 total). Hot streak: 31/43 337yds 3TD Week 13. MODERATE mode [9.1-24.1]. Weather concern but dome-like for cold weather team. Selecting 17.5 in MODERATE range.
Context: O/U: 44.5 | Def Rank: 16 | ECR: 12
MC (Historical): BUST: 29% | MODERATE: 47% | BOOM: 24%
XGB (This Week): Boom 30% | Bust 22% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 15.3 | LLM 18.0 (BOOM)
Reasoning: XGB: 22% boom, 35% bust. vs LAR (10th vs QB). High game total (47.0). MC shows 70% BOOM mode! ARI +8 underdog = passing volume. LLM AGREES with MC BOOM selection despite XGB moderate signal. 18.0 in BOOM range [16.5-27.5].
Context: O/U: 47.0 | Def Rank: 10 | ECR: 8
MC (Historical): BUST: 24% | MODERATE: 5% | BOOM: 70%
XGB (This Week): Boom 23% | Bust 32% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 16.4 | LLM 15.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: XGB: 10% boom, 54% bust - HIGH bust risk. vs NO (28th vs RB - JUICY). TB -8.5 favorite = positive game script for RB usage. Returned Week 13 with 19 touches (17 carries). MODERATE mode [7.9-19.9]. Despite high bust risk from XGB, favorable matchup justifies MODERATE. 15.0 within range.
Context: O/U: 42.5 | Def Rank: 28 | ECR: 23
MC (Historical): BUST: 17% | MODERATE: 61% | BOOM: 22%
XGB (This Week): Boom 9% | Bust 54% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 8.6 | LLM 9.5 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: XGB: 19% boom, 34% bust. vs CLE (8th vs RB - TOUGH). Low game total (33.5) = limited scoring. TEN +4.5 underdog = negative game script risk. MC MODERATE [5.3-13.3]. MODERATE 9.5 accounts for committee split with Pollard. Ceiling capped.
Context: O/U: 33.5 | Def Rank: 8
MC (Historical): BUST: 20% | MODERATE: 61% | BOOM: 18%
XGB (This Week): Boom 16% | Bust 37% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 12.1 | LLM N/A (BUST)
Reasoning: RETURNING FROM IR but game-time decision MNF vs PHI. PHI elite run D (5th). XGB: 11% boom, 56% bust. Even if activated, will be on snap count. Setting 0.0 as conservative - UPDATE SUNDAY if activated with clear role.
Context: O/U: 40.5 | Def Rank: 5
MC (Historical): BUST: 29% | MODERATE: 40% | BOOM: 31%
XGB (This Week): Boom 14% | Bust 55% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 6.1 | LLM N/A (BUST)
Reasoning: BENCH player. XGB: 14% boom, 50% bust. Backup to Josh Jacobs. vs CHI. Not in lineup consideration. 0.0 (bench).
Context: O/U: 44.5 | Def Rank: 12
MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 39% | BOOM: 11%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 50% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 20.9 | LLM 19.5 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: XGB: 12% boom, 23% bust - MODERATE profile. @ATL (26th vs WR - SMASH spot). SEA -7 favorite = positive game script. Target leader for SEA. MC MODERATE [12-26]. Selecting 19.5 in MODERATE - consistent high floor.
Context: O/U: 44.5 | Def Rank: 26 | ECR: 1
MC (Historical): BUST: 34% | MODERATE: 43% | BOOM: 22%
XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 23% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A (BUST)
Reasoning: BYE WEEK (CAR). No projection needed.
Context: Def Rank: 16
MC (Historical): BUST: 50% | MODERATE: 33% | BOOM: 16%
XGB (This Week): Boom 10% | Bust 56% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 13.8 | LLM 14.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: XGB: 36% boom, 20% bust - BOOM profile. vs LAR (12th vs WR). MISSED WEDNESDAY PRACTICE - monitor. High game total (47.0) but ARI +8 underdog = garbage time upside. MC MODERATE [7.8-16.2]. 14.0 in MODERATE, could upgrade to BOOM if healthy Friday.
Context: O/U: 47.0 | Def Rank: 12 | ECR: 13
MC (Historical): BUST: 30% | MODERATE: 44% | BOOM: 26%
XGB (This Week): Boom 37% | Bust 20% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 17.1 | LLM 17.5 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: XGB: 34% boom, 31% bust - VOLATILE. vs HOU (14th vs WR). KC -4.5 favorite. MC shows 47% BOOM probability but XGB more conservative. Selecting MODERATE mode [10.6-21.4] due to HOU decent secondary. 17.5 balanced projection.
Context: O/U: 41.5 | Def Rank: 14 | ECR: 3
MC (Historical): BUST: 24% | MODERATE: 29% | BOOM: 47%
XGB (This Week): Boom 31% | Bust 31% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 16.9 | LLM 18.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: THURSDAY GAME vs DAL completed. XGB: 12% boom, 47% bust. High-scoring game (54.5 total). DAL 30th vs WR = BOOM spot. Note: Check actual score. MC MODERATE [8.9-21.1]. Projecting MODERATE 18.0.
Context: O/U: 54.5 | Def Rank: 30 | ECR: 16
MC (Historical): BUST: 33% | MODERATE: 41% | BOOM: 26%
XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 51% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 10.5 | LLM N/A (BUST)
Reasoning: BENCH player. XGB: 10% boom, 53% bust. vs PHI (7th vs WR - TOUGH). LAC +3 underdog. If starting Hampton returns, Allen depth chart impact unclear. Not in lineup consideration. 0.0 (bench).
Context: O/U: 40.5 | Def Rank: 7 | ECR: 23
MC (Historical): BUST: 63% | MODERATE: 21% | BOOM: 16%
XGB (This Week): Boom 10% | Bust 54% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 8.1 | LLM 6.0 (BUST)
Reasoning: ECR: TE27 SIT. MC: 52% BUST prob. Now with DEN, splits reps with Trautman/Adkins. 6.0 within BUST [2.4-8.4]. Avoid unless desperate at TE.
Context: O/U: 44.0 | Def Rank: 16 | ECR: 27
MC (Historical): BUST: 52% | MODERATE: 39% | BOOM: 8%
XGB (This Week): Boom 25% | Bust 26% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 9.7 | LLM 10.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: XGB: 26% boom, 30% bust. @TB (18th vs TE). NO +8.5 underdog = passing volume for garbage time. MC BOOM mode at 36%! But selecting MODERATE [5.7-12.3] due to low team total (17.0 implied). 10.0 in MODERATE range.
Context: O/U: 42.5 | Def Rank: 18 | ECR: 6
MC (Historical): BUST: 28% | MODERATE: 35% | BOOM: 36%
XGB (This Week): Boom 24% | Bust 29% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A (BUST)
Reasoning: BYE WEEK (NE). No projection needed.
MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 37% | BOOM: 14%
XGB (This Week): Boom 8% | Bust 60% (MEDIUM)
Projections: ESPN 17.6 | LLM 17.5
MC (Historical): BUST: 29% | MODERATE: 47% | BOOM: 24%
XGB (This Week): Boom 30% | Bust 22%
Notes: XGB: 30% boom, 22% bust. vs CHI (16th vs QB). GB -6.5 favorite in shootout potential (44.5 total). Hot streak: 31/43 337yds 3TD Week 13. MODERATE mode [9.1-24.1]. Weather concern but dome-like for cold weather team. Selecting 17.5 in MODERATE range.
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A
MC (Historical): BUST: 50% | MODERATE: 33% | BOOM: 16%
XGB (This Week): Boom 10% | Bust 56%
Notes: BYE WEEK (CAR). No projection needed.
Projections: ESPN 8.1 | LLM 6.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 52% | MODERATE: 39% | BOOM: 8%
XGB (This Week): Boom 25% | Bust 26%
Notes: ECR: TE27 SIT. MC: 52% BUST prob. Now with DEN, splits reps with Trautman/Adkins. 6.0 within BUST [2.4-8.4]. Avoid unless desperate at TE.
Projections: ESPN 13.8 | LLM 14.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 30% | MODERATE: 44% | BOOM: 26%
XGB (This Week): Boom 37% | Bust 20%
Notes: XGB: 36% boom, 20% bust - BOOM profile. vs LAR (12th vs WR). MISSED WEDNESDAY PRACTICE - monitor. High game total (47.0) but ARI +8 underdog = garbage time upside. MC MODERATE [7.8-16.2]. 14.0 in MODERATE, could upgrade to BOOM if healthy Friday.
Projections: ESPN 12.1 | LLM N/A
MC (Historical): BUST: 29% | MODERATE: 40% | BOOM: 31%
XGB (This Week): Boom 14% | Bust 55%
Notes: RETURNING FROM IR but game-time decision MNF vs PHI. PHI elite run D (5th). XGB: 11% boom, 56% bust. Even if activated, will be on snap count. Setting 0.0 as conservative - UPDATE SUNDAY if activated with clear role.
Projections: ESPN 6.1 | LLM N/A
MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 39% | BOOM: 11%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 50%
Notes: BENCH player. XGB: 14% boom, 50% bust. Backup to Josh Jacobs. vs CHI. Not in lineup consideration. 0.0 (bench).
Projections: ESPN 10.5 | LLM N/A
MC (Historical): BUST: 63% | MODERATE: 21% | BOOM: 16%
XGB (This Week): Boom 10% | Bust 54%
Notes: BENCH player. XGB: 10% boom, 53% bust. vs PHI (7th vs WR - TOUGH). LAC +3 underdog. If starting Hampton returns, Allen depth chart impact unclear. Not in lineup consideration. 0.0 (bench).
Projections: ESPN 0.0 | LLM N/A
MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 37% | BOOM: 14%
XGB (This Week): Boom 8% | Bust 60%
Notes: BYE WEEK (NE). No projection needed.
Patrick Mahomes (QB): 48% boom probability
| Player | Pos | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Mod% | Bust% | Threat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | 0.0 | 48% | 37% | 16% | HIGH | |
| Malik Washington | WR | 0.0 | 27% | 46% | 27% | MEDIUM | |
| DJ Moore | WR | 0.0 | 23% | 52% | 25% | MEDIUM | |
| Ray Davis | RB | 0.0 | 13% | 36% | 51% | LOW | |
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | 0.0 | 12% | 34% | 54% | LOW | |
| Vikings D/ST | D/ST | 0.0 | 12% | 42% | 46% | LOW | |
| Nick Chubb | RB | 0.0 | 11% | 27% | 62% | LOW | |
| Brandon Aubrey | K | 0.0 | 11% | 26% | 63% | LOW | |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | 0.0 | 10% | 34% | 57% | LOW |
Patrick Mahomes: MC (BUST: 26% | MODERATE: 27% | BOOM: 47%) | XGB (Boom 48% | Bust 16%)
Malik Washington: MC (BUST: 25% | MODERATE: 48% | BOOM: 27%) | XGB (Boom 27% | Bust 27%)
DJ Moore: MC (BUST: 64% | MODERATE: 34% | BOOM: 2%) | XGB (Boom 23% | Bust 25%)
Ray Davis: MC (BUST: 46% | MODERATE: 39% | BOOM: 15%) | XGB (Boom 13% | Bust 51%)
Ollie Gordon II: MC (BUST: 46% | MODERATE: 36% | BOOM: 18%) | XGB (Boom 12% | Bust 54%)
Vikings D/ST: MC (BUST: 48% | MODERATE: 38% | BOOM: 14%) | XGB (Boom 12% | Bust 46%)
Nick Chubb: MC (BUST: 55% | MODERATE: 35% | BOOM: 11%) | XGB (Boom 11% | Bust 62%)
Brandon Aubrey: MC (BUST: 31% | MODERATE: 50% | BOOM: 18%) | XGB (Boom 11% | Bust 63%)
Dalton Kincaid: MC (BUST: 33% | MODERATE: 34% | BOOM: 33%) | XGB (Boom 10% | Bust 57%)
| Player | Pos | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% | Own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | 0.0 | 50% | 19% | 0.0% | |
| Michael Badgley | K | 0.0 | 33% | 42% | 0.0% | |
| Evan Engram | TE | 0.0 | 32% | 22% | 0.0% | |
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | K | 0.0 | 28% | 31% | 0.0% | |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB | 0.0 | 28% | 33% | 0.0% | |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | TE | 0.0 | 28% | 26% | 0.0% | |
| Garrett Wilson | WR | 0.0 | 27% | 39% | 0.0% | |
| Isiah Pacheco | RB | 0.0 | 27% | 26% | 0.0% | |
| Chiefs D/ST | D/ST | 0.0 | 26% | 31% | 0.0% | |
| Commanders D/ST | D/ST | 0.0 | 19% | 43% | 0.0% | |
| Matthew Golden | WR | 0.0 | 18% | 46% | 0.0% | |
| Evan McPherson | K | 0.0 | 17% | 53% | 0.0% | |
| Dolphins D/ST | D/ST | 0.0 | 16% | 40% | 0.0% | |
| Kyler Murray | QB | 0.0 | 14% | 45% | 0.0% | |
| Chuba Hubbard | RB | 0.0 | 14% | 49% | 0.0% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler Murray | 0.0 | BUST:18%, MODERATE:54%, BOOM:29% | 14% | 45% | |
| Sam Darnold | 0.0 | BUST:38%, MODERATE:40%, BOOM:22% | 14% | 48% | |
| Justin Fields | 0.0 | BUST:39%, MODERATE:31%, BOOM:30% | 14% | 49% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 0.0 | BUST:48%, MODERATE:39%, BOOM:12% | 50% | 19% | |
| Tyler Allgeier | 0.0 | BUST:48%, MODERATE:35%, BOOM:16% | 28% | 33% | |
| Isiah Pacheco | 0.0 | BUST:61%, MODERATE:32%, BOOM:7% | 27% | 26% | |
| Chuba Hubbard | 0.0 | BUST:26%, MODERATE:50%, BOOM:24% | 14% | 49% | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 0.0 | BUST:48%, MODERATE:36%, BOOM:16% | 9% | 58% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson | 0.0 | BUST:40%, MODERATE:42%, BOOM:19% | 27% | 39% | |
| Matthew Golden | 0.0 | BUST:42%, MODERATE:28%, BOOM:30% | 18% | 46% | |
| Cooper Kupp | 0.0 | BUST:49%, MODERATE:33%, BOOM:17% | 12% | 58% | |
| Tre Tucker | 0.0 | BUST:55%, MODERATE:39%, BOOM:6% | 9% | 42% | |
| Jayden Reed | 0.0 | BUST:37%, MODERATE:53%, BOOM:10% | 0% | 0% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Engram | 0.0 | BUST:48%, MODERATE:45%, BOOM:7% | 32% | 22% | |
| Harold Fannin Jr. | 0.0 | BUST:24%, MODERATE:53%, BOOM:23% | 28% | 26% | |
| Colston Loveland | 0.0 | BUST:51%, MODERATE:30%, BOOM:19% | 8% | 56% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Badgley | 0.0 | 33% | 42% | |
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | 0.0 | 28% | 31% | |
| Evan McPherson | 0.0 | 17% | 53% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs D/ST | 0.0 | 26% | 31% | |
| Commanders D/ST | 0.0 | 19% | 43% | |
| Dolphins D/ST | 0.0 | 16% | 40% |
Win Probability
Floor: -8.1 pts | Median: +31.8 pts | Ceiling: +69.3 pts
When opponent starters are injured, the system models likely bench substitutions to provide more accurate win probability estimates. (ESPN projections shown - LLM projections only available for our team)
| Position | Injured Starter | Status | ESPN Proj | Replacement | Repl ESPN |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | Dalton Kincaid | QUESTIONABLE | 12.2 | Sam LaPorta | 11.9 |
Win probability weighted across multiple injury scenarios.
| Scenario | Probability | Opp Total EV | Win Prob | Expected Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All injured starters play | 85.0% | 87.2 | 84.9% | +31.3 |
| All injured starters out | 15.0% | 89.0 | 84.0% | +29.6 |
Key: Click any row to view full histogram. ↑15+ = P(≥15pts) | ↓5- = P(<5pts)
Variance: HIGH CV>0.5 (boom/bust) | MED CV>0.3 (moderate) | LOW CV≤0.3 (consistent)
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | HIGH | 18.0 | 4.2-28.0 | ↑15+: 64% | ↓5-: 12% | |
| Bucky Irving | RB | HIGH | 15.0 | 4.3-24.5 | ↑15+: 44% | ↓5-: 12% | |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | HIGH | 9.5 | 2.2-19.9 | ↑15+: 20% | ↓5-: 27% | |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | HIGH | 19.5 | 5.6-30.0 | ↑15+: 58% | ↓5-: 7% | |
| Rashee Rice | WR | MED | 17.5 | 7.1-27.9 | ↑15+: 62% | ↓5-: 2% | |
| Jameson Williams | WR | HIGH | 18.0 | 4.1-25.8 | ↑15+: 47% | ↓5-: 15% | |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | HIGH | 10.0 | 2.5-17.0 | ↑15+: 17% | ↓5-: 25% | |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 8.0 | 0.0-17.5 | ↑15+: 16% | ↓5-: 44% | |
| Jason Myers | K | MED | 10.0 | 4.6-16.4 | ↑15+: 16% | ↓5-: 13% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love | QB | HIGH | 17.5 | 6.3-27.7 | ↑15+: 52% | ↓5-: 6% | |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | HIGH | 0.0 | 2.5-24.0 | ↑15+: 34% | ↓5-: 23% | |
| Emanuel Wilson | RB | HIGH | 0.0 | 0.4-20.4 | ↑15+: 19% | ↓5-: 44% | |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | HIGH | 0.0 | 5.0-25.8 | ↑15+: 29% | ↓5-: 10% | |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | HIGH | 14.0 | 3.4-21.6 | ↑15+: 31% | ↓5-: 19% | |
| Keenan Allen | WR | HIGH | 0.0 | 4.5-26.0 | ↑15+: 32% | ↓5-: 14% | |
| Hunter Henry | TE | HIGH | 0.0 | 3.3-21.9 | ↑15+: 19% | ↓5-: 27% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | QB | MED | 20.2 | 9.9-31.3 | ↑15+: 69% | ↓5-: 0% | |
| Nick Chubb | RB | HIGH | 7.5 | 1.6-15.7 | ↑15+: 11% | ↓5-: 44% | |
| Ray Davis | RB | HIGH | 6.8 | 0.2-16.1 | ↑15+: 12% | ↓5-: 48% | |
| Ollie Gordon II | RB | HIGH | 7.7 | 0.4-17.0 | ↑15+: 15% | ↓5-: 44% | |
| DJ Moore | WR | HIGH | 11.8 | 4.2-23.1 | ↑15+: 33% | ↓5-: 18% | |
| Malik Washington | WR | HIGH | 8.3 | 2.1-15.7 | ↑15+: 12% | ↓5-: 33% | |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | HIGH | 9.6 | 2.7-18.4 | ↑15+: 22% | ↓5-: 28% | |
| Vikings D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 6.3 | 0.0-20.5 | ↑15+: 15% | ↓5-: 59% | |
| Brandon Aubrey | K | HIGH | 9.0 | 3.3-16.6 | ↑15+: 15% | ↓5-: 23% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthy | QB | HIGH | 14.9 | 3.5-26.9 | ↑15+: 49% | ↓5-: 16% | |
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | MED | 22.3 | 11.4-34.9 | ↑15+: 72% | ↓5-: 0% | |
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | HIGH | 10.3 | 2.1-20.5 | ↑15+: 25% | ↓5-: 31% | |
| Keon Coleman | WR | HIGH | 9.2 | 2.5-18.4 | ↑15+: 17% | ↓5-: 32% | |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | HIGH | 11.4 | 3.6-20.0 | ↑15+: 32% | ↓5-: 19% | |
| Packers D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 6.8 | 0.0-15.8 | ↑15+: 12% | ↓5-: 48% | |
| Chris Boswell | K | HIGH | 8.4 | 1.9-15.6 | ↑15+: 12% | ↓5-: 31% |
| Player | Position | BOOM | MODERATE | BUST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving | RB | 22% @ 23.8 | 61% @ 14.0 | 17% @ 4.3 | 14.6 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 23% @ 29.4 | 43% @ 18.6 | 34% @ 7.2 | 17.1 |
| Rashee Rice | WR | 47% @ 24.2 | 29% @ 15.7 | 25% @ 7.9 | 17.8 |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | 18% @ 20.4 | 61% @ 8.9 | 20% @ 3.0 | 9.8 |
| Jason Myers | K | 22% @ 15.9 | 44% @ 11.2 | 34% @ 5.8 | 10.3 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 36% @ 14.7 | 35% @ 9.2 | 28% @ 3.6 | 9.6 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 26% @ 24.0 | 41% @ 15.2 | 33% @ 5.6 | 14.4 |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | 70% @ 21.7 | 5% @ 14.8 | 24% @ 6.0 | 17.5 |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | 23% @ 16.3 | 40% @ 8.0 | 37% @ 1.3 | 7.5 |
No urgent moves with Hampton returning. If both RBs out: Isiah Pacheco (KC), Chris Rodriguez Jr. (WSH), or Bhayshul Tuten (JAX) are best available. Chuba Hubbard on bye.
No major injury concerns.
This tab logs discrepancies detected during the weekly analysis process.
No discrepancies detected this week.